- Renewable energy growth remains resilient despite changes in US policy, expanding at a faster rate than fossil fuels across all major scenarios.
- The IEA World Energy Outlook 2025 confirms that the growth of renewable energy is driving global transitions and reshaping markets worldwide.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) has confirmed that renewable energy growth continues to outpace fossil fuels worldwide, despite recent policy reversals in the United States. According to the World Energy Outlook 2025, renewables, particularly solar power, are expanding faster than any other energy source under all major scenarios.
The report projects that global oil demand will peak around 2030, signalling a key shift in the worldwide energy market. Although the US may see a 30% decrease in renewable capacity by 2035, global deployment is expected to remain strong. The findings were released alongside the COP30 Climate Summit in Brazil, which the Trump administration chose not to attend.
Former President Trump’s rollback of clean energy policies and withdrawal from the Paris Climate Agreement have drawn criticism. Still, the IEA insists that these changes will not halt the global energy transition. The agency outlined three scenarios, based on current policies, announced measures, and a net-zero pathway by 2050, all of which demonstrate the dominance of renewable energy.
China continues to lead the global renewable market, accounting for up to 60% of new capacity in the next decade. However, the IEA warns that current efforts are insufficient to meet the 1.5°C climate target, with global warming projected to exceed this limit under most scenarios.
Ultimately, the IEA concludes that no country can stop the shift toward clean energy. Despite political setbacks, the growth of renewable energy remains a driving force behind global sustainability, market transformation, and reduced dependence on fossil fuels.