- US President Trump planned an executive order and declaration of a national energy emergency, targeted at enhancing the United States oil and gas production.
- Dr Bala Zakka said, “Major importers from Nigeria indirectly encourage our nation to be lazy, exporting crude oil instead of processing to add more value to the economy.
US President Trump planned an executive order and declaration of a national energy emergency, targeted at enhancing the United States oil and gas production could impact on Nigeria’s oil demand and revenue generation.
This was even as prices of oil, including Nigeria’s Bonny Light dropped to $80 per barrel from $83 per barrel, yesterday, as traders await U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s inauguration in the hope of some clarity on his policy agenda.
However, the United States used to import a bulk of its crude oil from Nigeria, but the commencement of shale oil, deliberate government policy and other factors, reduced the nation’s oil and gas import in recent times.
An economist and Chief Executive Officer, Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, CPPE, Dr Muda Yusuf, said, “Naturally, if investments in oil and gas increase in the United States and the US of course is a major oil producer that will increase the global supply. If global supply increases, energy prices are likely to fall.
“So, if energy prices fall, of course, that has implications for our own revenue. So it’s likely to negatively impact our oil price on our oil revenue but it may be positive for businesses because a reduction in crude oil price or commodity or global oil price typically reduces the cost of petroleum products, including the Premium Motor Spirit, PMS, also known as petrol, diesel and jet fuel.
“However, it’s a double-edged sword as changes, if the price increases; it will favour the government and penalise the private sector, who uses energy. If the price drops, it penalizes the government and benefits the citizens and investors because their energy costs will drop.
“That is one implication of the Trump presidency. The second implication is, if he’s able to calm down the situation between Russia and Ukraine. Russia is a major oil producer as well, a major gas producer.
“So, he’s able to calm down Russia and Ukraine and he has the potential to do that because it is part of the commitment that he has made.
“If he’s able to do that, then we are likely to see more production of oil. We are likely to see the lifting of sanctions on Russia and if that happens, oil production will increase and prices will fall. Again, that will affect revenue negatively, but it will benefit businesses because the cost of energy will drop.
“So, that is the nexus for me between what is happening with Trump policies and our domestic economy, especially the oil and gas sector.”
On his part, a Port Harcourt-based energy analyst, Dr. Bala Zakka, said, “Major importers from Nigeria, indirectly encourage our nation to be lazy, exporting crude oil instead of processing to add more value to the economy.
“I strongly believe that by reducing importation through his policies, President Trump would encourage increased refining in Nigeria and other African nations. We need to expand our refining capacity to refine more petroleum products and derivatives capable of adding value to the domestic economy.”
Also, the National President of Oil and Gas Service Providers Association of Nigeria, OGSPAN, said, “Every nation continuously reviews its environment and takes decisions on the best ways and means to grow its economy. Nigeria should do the same in order to reduce dependence on oil and other economies.”